Smith, Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) May 8, 2022. In his role, he is responsible for editing, writing and developing stories across the golf space. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? Hes also been a fairly reliable player in the majors, missing just one cut in five career starts. Fitzpatrick is an excellent player from tee to green but ranks 47th in one-putt percentage. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook. With 97 of the world's top 100 players at the PGA Championship, there's value to be had on the odds board. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. Henley has numerous tour victories in windy conditions. Sleeper pick: Ill give you two! He has made the cut in all eight majors that he has played, including three top-12 finishes. While he did MC, he was still able to gain three strokes on approach and 3.5 strokes tee-to-green. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Among all the betting favorites, there are several names further down the odds list you should keep an eye on this week in Oklahoma. Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. We also have a variable of wind and a possibility of a tee time advantage. In my case for Max Homa, I argued that while there are differences between weekly PGA Tournaments and majors, good golf will find a way to translate. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. His T14 at Augusta was his best major finish to date. Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. Because the API is an elevated event, 27 of the top 30 players in the world will tee it up at Bay Hill with a $3.6 . ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! With an emphasis on ball-striking approach play in particular along with the ability to play well around the green, lets take a look at five sleepers who could make noise at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa this week. If you are stacking an AM/PM tee time this week, it could also be advantageous to make PM/AM stacks as well. Since the 2022 FedEx Cup season opened in October, Scott has two top tens on the PGA Tour, two top 10s on the DP World Tour in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and only missed one cut in 13 starts (at the wind-plagued PLAYERS Championship). All Rights Reserved. Once you get past the favorites, these PGA Championship dark horse picks have long odds but a real sleeper chance to win at Southern Hills. Bet with your head, not over it. Viktor Hovland ($9,900) - Viktor Hovland had a strong start to the new season. Southern Hills is arather long course. To-win: Cameron Smith, +2,000. Twilight 9 podcast PGA Championship preview: Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. 2022 PGA Championship viewers guide: Tee times, TV schedule, streaming, how to watch, Love transfusion cocktails? Harry Higgs has not had anywhere close to the success that Max Homa has found on TOUR, especially this year. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Max Homa +8000 ( DraftKings) Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. Lee is an excellent golfer, make no mistake, but he hasn't quite looked ready to win a PGA TOUR event prior to the weekend. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. Most people don't realize how good Berger has beenrecently and over the past year. At 20-1, Smith clearly presents the best value this week at Southern Hills. Lastly, the RickRunGood Tournament Predictor also loves him at these odds and has him listed as the No. Scott ranks fifth in the world in Strokes Gained: Putting over the last year. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. Matthew Wolff hasnt exactly had the trajectory that we anticipated. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fifth in strokes gained approach. The big concern would be driving accuracy as that could get him in trouble. Other than being ranked seventhin "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green," his metrics don't pop off the charts. He's always been in contention at the PGA Championship events and plays well at Dye courses, so I couldn't lay off of him. DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker For +12,500, I will bet that we see flashes of 2020 Wolff at Southern Hills. As we make our way further down the board to find a mega-longshot, lets throw that idea directly out the window. At least that's how I see it playing out. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. Of course, Young's weakness is the all-important approach game, where he ranks 83rd in SG:APR. Betting him as a top-10 finisher at +650 oddscould also be a profitable strategy. Hes healthy: Toward the end of last year, Champ suffered a left wrist injury, and the effects may have crept into his swing. Getting one of the best ball strikers on tour, who is familiar with the course, under 10% owned may just be too lucrative to pass up. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Hes played well in majors before with a runner-up at the 2019 Open, runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open, and fourth place at the 2017 U.S. Open. At The Players Championship, the understood tee time advantage did not play out and fantasy players who stacked the opposite wave made a lot of money. This number is too high for a guy who hits it this well and is this good around the greens. Only competitors with 100-1 or better odds are listed. He ranks top 40 in this field in approach, around the green, putting, sand saves, bogey avoidance and three-putt avoidance. So, good putters should fare well on this course. It's the city in which two best moments in golf have come - namely, winning the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson and then successfully defending his crown just this past week. The course is a rather long one at 7,556 yardsand plays to a par of 70. This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. While there is a gulf of differences between the skills and mindset needed to win a major title and winning at your average PGA TOUR stop, Homas game should fit both on paper. Sleeper PGA DFS Picks Justin Suh $6,900. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including this year's Masters. He may not be the best course fit, with his chipping being a weakness, but that is more than factored into this juicy price. When: March 2 to 5, 2023. And that same group is sharing its 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Hovland Is still one of the best ball strikers on tour. Then again, Im searching for value at a major. Rose finished T12 the last time the PGA Championship was contested at Southern Hills, in 2007. Im not going to overthink this. Berger, he said, is as impressive as anybody.. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fourth in ball striking, and second in strokes gained approach. This one feels too easy. In his two starts at major championships, Higgs has finished in the top 15. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles. This new app will help, Fortinet Championship odds: Two stars lead favorites at PGA Tour season opener, Tour Championship odds: Scottie Scheffler favored to win fifth title of the season, BMW Championship odds: Rory McIlroy still the betting favorite despite missed cut, FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Rory McIlroy leads betting favorites for playoff opener, Wyndham Championship odds: Shane Lowry is betting favorite for regular-season finale. 1 golfer in the world, will have to face off against the rest of the world's top-10 golfers, a group that is highlighted by Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. The 2007 PGA Championship was also at Southern Hills CC, with Tiger Woods winning his 13th major. He has made the cut in each of his eight tournaments since then, culminating in last week's T5 finish, which was his best career PGA TOUR . But again, it was a good time off, but definitely enjoyed being out here more.. FOLLOW US ON MacIntyre is a great ball striker who plays well in the wind. Why not ride the wave early and catch Young while hes still a longshot and not offered as one of the favorites at an event like this? 17. The No. Even though it's located in South Carolina, the Ocean Course plays similar to a European-style links course. His statistical profile is awfully similar to that of Bradley, and most forget he shared the 54-hole lead with Louis Oosthuizen and Mackenzie Hughes in last year's U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. Check out McNichol's five favorite longshot bets this week below. MORE: Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title. You can too! For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. While he has struggled on the PGA Tour, he displayed good form finishing in 14th-place at The Masters in April. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. The 30-year-old Englishmen has underperformed this year for how well he has played. In GPPs I like the idea of having a few shares of Woods he can grind and scramble his way around. Gambling problem? Champ: We have cattle, we have horses. The 2022 PGA Championship field We've categorized all golfers that matter for the PGA Championship into favorites, contenders, sleepers, long shots, those that would need a miracle to. I dont buy into many course comparisons this week. Were about an hour north of downtown. They each have +400 odds for a top-10 finish and would be great DFS fillers in the sub-$9,000 salary range. There are a lot of ways to play your golf gambling dollar. Thats enough for me! Since 2019, the PGA Championship has taken place in May, instead of its former spot as the fourth and final major played in August. Im not sure hes ready to get the job done on a major stage, but Robert MacIntyre is one of golfs up-and-comers who has been playing well of late. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-pga-championship-odds-sleeper-picks-jason-day-max-homa-southern-hills/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Best golf balls for 2023 for every budget and playing style, Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Friday at Bay Hill: Jordan Spieth's putter wakes up, Jon Rahm takes a step back among notes from Day 2 at Arnold Palmer Invitational, LIV Golf reports 3.2 million viewers for opening event in Mexico, a stark difference from early reports, Photos: PopStroke by Tiger Woods opens its first location in Arizona, Putters used by PGA Tour players ranked in the top 10 in strokes gained putting, Photos: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational merchandise tent is fit for a king, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship DFS Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022 The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Championship picks. Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022! Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Think like a pro, bet like a pro, win like a pro. His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. But Champ has such a high ceiling, theres big potential upside here. His form in 2021 has also been inconsistent, but he finished 10th at the Arnold Palmer and 14th at Wells Fargo, so he has it in him to be in contention. No real weaknesses. The PGA Championship has become a melting pot for difficult but fair conditions as of late, and the phrase "there's no faking it" has become synonymous with the championship's setup. Cameron Champ hits a tee shot last month during the Mexico Open. If Zalatoris remains near 10% is a great play. I know it's going to be tough for Morikawa to win this event in back-to-back years, but I can't resist. Sleeper pick: Keegan Bradley, +1,000. The 2019 U.S. Open champion is finally healthy after battling injuries the last two years, and his play is indicative of such. As an added bonus, the Swede played his college golf an hour west in Stillwater for Oklahoma State University, so he should be more than comfortable in this region of the country. The 2022 PGA Championship from Southern Hills CC begins on Thursday (May 19th) Hideki Matsuyama is an absolute steal in the outright market at 35-1. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. This situation reminds me a little of everyone being off of Rory McIlroy before he took down the Wells Fargo. The PGA Championship is set for May 20-23 at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina. The form is there, and by all accounts, the course fit is there. Also, the smartest picker I know has been crowing about Young for months. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. Obviously, a lot has. Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. Jordan Spieth 9.. Out of his 10 professional wins, six have come on the European Tour on links-style courses. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. Phil Mickelson is the reigning winner of the PGA Championship. However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. However, his game fits Southern Hills and he seems to be enjoying the course. But recently, it seems he has turned the corner, especially when it comes to his mental game. Still, he drives and putts well enough to draw consideration as an 80-1 sleeper pick. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) . Hes not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but hes also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. Hes relaxed: Champ rehabbed on a farm, and Ill let him explain the vibe, which he also shared at the Mexico Open. Try selecting a different location. The first major on the 2022 PGA Tour was won by Scottie Scheffler. We have made one of each using odds from BetMGM to assist you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, or (legal!) He missed the cut at The Byron Nelson at high ownership. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. The course plays differently than it has in the past, as the rough isn't as thick as it once was thanks to a course re-design in 2018. I lost all the muscle in my arm pretty much for not using it for four and a half, five months. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. This year's venue, Southern Hills Country Club, will play no favorites -- and neither will we as we outline potential candidates to follow in the footsteps of Yang and company. Why not Schauffele, to break the major-less streak, at +2,500? The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando. One of those two was the champion at this venue back in 2007 a golfer by the name Tiger Woods. He has gained strokes on approach in four out of his last five events. He won the 2007 PGA at Southern Hills. Bergers not long by Tour standards, but he is accurate, and hes a killer around the greens, which will be essential at the new-look Southern Hills with its slick, difficult-to-hit surfaces. In fact, hes yet to finish in the top 20 with a career best of T40 at the 2021 Open Championship. He has struggled to seal the deal in recent memory, so he'll likely need to post a low one on Sunday, sit on the clubhouse lead and watch the leaders melt in the heat of battle. Sleeper pick: Matthew Wolff +12,500. Scheffler is playing the best golf of his career and earned his first major win at the Masters in April. The 104th PGA Championship will take place from May 19-22 at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills, What is Jim Nantzs career lowlight? Let him tell you about adult film, Its f hard: Jon Rahm comes back to Earth at brutal Bay Hill. WIN CASH WITH ROTOQL & BETQL: Start free trial. So I had to fight through it and just get the muscle back. Because of that showing by Rory and his recent win at the Wells Fargo Championship, he comes into this event as the betting favorite at +1100. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. Cantlay 6McIlroy 5MorikawaThomasHoma 4SchefflerDJRahmC. Just like Noren, he finished 12th last week at the Byron Nelson, so he comes into this event in good form. Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. No more. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Potential shortstop sleepers. Aug 17, 2022 25 The PGA Tour heads to Wilmington Country Club in Delaware for the second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. You can show your support for Rob by using the discount code GILTwhen purchasing aPGA Premium Pass. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. . Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite? To-win: Will Zalatoris, +3,300. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy are among the top golfers expected to have success at Southern Hills CC, but here are three sleepers who could be making even louder noises there. Not much else to this pick, sometimes you just have to take the hot hand (hes also extremely talented in every facet of the game, so that helps). Critics say new PGA Tour events copy LIV. It's Major week, and the highly anticipated PGA Championship is finally here! The biggest reason I am sprinkling on Fleetwood this week is his success on coastal- and links-style courses. He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. He won last years Scottish Open, beating the likes of Justin Thomas and John Rahm. The PGA Tour had a weird 2022. Tiger Woods ($8,200) - Another surprise as a pivot play is Tiger Woods. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Sportsbook Keegan Bradley To Win: +8000 Top-5 Finish: +1100 Top-10 Finish: +500 Top-20 Finish: +200 The 2011 PGA Champion is beginning to look like his former self in that he is contending on a regular basis. All of these things put together should bode well for the European golfers who are used to playing on these courses and in these conditions. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Defending champion Phil Mickelson isnt playing this week. He also ranks ninth in "Driving Distance" and in the top 30 of several other key metrics. MORE: Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022. The result marks Kirk's . Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. He ranks top 30 in this field in approach, putting, bogey avoidance, three-putt avoidance, and sand saves. Cut to Wayne and Garth from Wayne's World, as excited as possible for being. Sure, this season has been all about Scottie Scheffler, but these odds are too good to pass up for a player experiencing a similar meteoric rise this season. readfullarticle Source: CBS Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Michigan State Spartans OSU Buckeyes Odds. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Homas form entering the week speaks for itself: He won the last time he teed it up. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! 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He is in good form as he has finished 41st or better in 10 of his last 11 starts. He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. He has finished top 10 in each of his last PGA Championship appearances. Scheffler has knocked Jordan Spieth off the Texas golf throne with his stellar play these past few months. Looking at the course, the putting grass thats going to be used is called paspalum, which is popular on European tracks. (Photo: Nick Wass/Associated Press). If there's any golfer in the world who can flip the switch and dominate, it's Johnson. While he may be on the wrong side off the tee time waves, I believe he could play well this weekend. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! With Jon Rahm, the world No. This will likely make scoring difficult. BMW Championship picks 2022: Top 10s Caddie: Mito Pereira (+750, Bet365) He's got the length and the iron play to contend here, so a positive putting week and you're in business at these. A T-3 at the Farmers, leading the Wells Fargo after 36 holes, and two solid opening rounds last week before a Saturday 73 plummeted him down the leaderboard. He ranks second on the tour in SG:OTT and ninth in one-putt percentage. That said, he has a top-three approach game, ranks 12th in SG:OTT and is a top-five scrambler from the rough. Hottest golfer on the planet. Moneyline (ML): SE Missouri State -135 (bet $135 to win $110) | Tennessee Tech +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Against the spread: SE Missouri State -2.5 (+100) | Tennessee Tech +2.5 (-120) We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? The Big Rig has not been playing stellar golf lately, missing every cut since the Masters, but hes shown an ability to grind out scores on difficult courses. PGA Tour Rising Stars: 6 Pro Golfers to Watch in 2023. Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island lives up to its name with, you guessed it, a lot of water. He's also shown that he can play with the big boys and has three other top-25 finishes in 2021, including finishing 18th at The Masters. There are two players that stick out as solid winner bets for this weekend's major: Justin Thomas (+1200) and Viktor Hovland (+2500). Southern Hills bears little resemblance to last years PGA Championship venue at Kiawah, but if the wind blows as expected in Tulsa this week, Higgs might be able to squeak his way up the leaderboard playing a similar style as his T4 finish at the Ocean Course. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 betting favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational . Our staff also likes a few more to-win bets and sleeper picks. MORE: How a fantasy football punishment led to a 112 score at a U.S. Open qualifier. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Bradley doesn't excel in any of the four key categories we're looking at for this week's tournament, but he ranks top-36 in SG:APR, SG:OTT and scrambling from the rough. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. Kerry Haigh, the PGA of America's chief championships officer, can be credited for the rise of the PGA Championship as it continues to climb the ranks of best majors of the season. Note: prices listed below available at a major U.S. sportsbooks as of writing Monday evening. This week, the PGA event is The PGA Championship. That means it's time to pick your optimal DraftKings fantasy golf lineup for the season's. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a. Obviously, well need a hot week with the putter. Sleeper pick: Cameron Young, +8,000. Click here to make your PGA picks Fleetwood has quietly put together a nice 2022. Hovland comes both with a little more risk and a bit more value. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. Why is this? But he is a player with whom casual fans are still not familiar. The four-time Tour winners history at major championships is worrisome, with his best finish coming at the 2021 Open (T-40). He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. You can bet all of them as winners, but some fit better into betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers or DFS value picks. But theres something about Southern Hills that I think will suit the Aussie to snap that streak. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . Spieths finishes since the Masters feature a win and a solo second, so his game is shaping up.
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